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SpaceX Rocket on Course to hit the Moon by March

M.Cby M.C
January 27, 2022
Reading Time: 3 mins read
A SpaceX Falcon9 rocket blasts off the launch pad, Feb. 11, 2015, carrying the NOAA's Deep Space Climate Observatory spacecraft.

A SpaceX Falcon9 rocket blasts off the launch pad, Feb. 11, 2015, carrying the NOAA's Deep Space Climate Observatory spacecraft.

A segment of a SpaceX rocket that was launched seven years ago is currently on course to crash into the moon.

The booster was part of the Falcon 9 rocket that lifted off from SpaceX’s Launch Complex 40 at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station in Florida in February 2015 as part of a mission to send a space-weather satellite, which is more than a million miles from Earth.

However, after a long burn to release the satellite at a specific position in space, the booster didn’t have enough fuel to return to Earth’s atmosphere, Meteorologist, Eric Berger explained in a publication.

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Additionally, its orbit was not high enough to escape the gravitational pull between Earth and the moon, leaving the booster in a “chaotic orbit.”

Bill Gray, the creator of Project Pluto, which supplies astronomical software that tracks objects near Earth to amateur and professional astronomers, wrote in a blog post that he has calculated the impact, and it is likely to occur on the far side of the moon on March 4, 2022, around 7:25 a.m. ET.

An astronomer working at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Jonathan McDowell, told the media that “It’s been up there, just an inert piece of space junk, for the past seven years. Because of its orbit, it keeps coming somewhat close to the moon and that changes its orbit unpredictably, and so the moon keeps tugging on it and changes its orbit.”

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He explained that the “last tug” the booster got from the moon in January set it on a path that will come back near the Earth in early February, go beyond the moon in late February and then start falling back toward it in early March, causing the crash.

It is not clear exactly where the booster will hit because sunlight can “push” it, causing a slight change in its course, but the four-ton segment is going to crash at 5,600 mph, likely creating a crater with a diameter several feet wide.

Shouldn’t the Earth Worry?

However, McDowell, who publishes regular space reports, said the collision is nothing to worry about.

“This is not the the first time that we’ve smashed rocket stages into the moon,” adding that, “We used to do it deliberately back in the days of Project Apollo to actually do scientific experiments to basically ring the moon like a bell and look for the interior structure with seismometers, sort of an artificial earthquake if you like, and that didn’t do any damage to the moon.”

For those asking: yes, an old Falcon 9 second stage left in high orbit in 2015 is going to hit the moon on March 4. It's interesting, but not a big deal.

— Jonathan McDowell (@planet4589) January 25, 2022

Additionally, in 2009, NASA’s LCROSS spacecraft purposely slammed into the moon to collect data about the impact.

The impending crash also should have positive implications for science, as it will offer researchers a rare opportunity to study and observe how craters are formed on the moon.

“The advantage you have of smashing a rocket into the moon and creating an artificial crater, instead of letting nature throw a rock at the moon and making an actual one, is that you know exactly what you’re throwing at the moon, you know what it’s made of and how heavy it is. If you know a four-ton aluminium rocket stage makes this big a crater, then that gives you a sense of how big a rock must have made this other crater.”

An astronomer working at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics – Jonathan McDowell

He added that the new crater formed by the booster may uncover materials and give a better idea of the composition of that part of the moon.

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Tags: March 2022MoonRocketSpaceX Rocket
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