Ghana’s producer price environment ended 2025 on a positive and stabilising note as average factory-gate prices declined in December, reinforcing the country’s broader disinflationary trend.
According to the latest data released by the Ghana Statistical Service, Producer Price Inflation dropped by 0.8 percent on a month-on-month basis between November and December 2025. This decline reflects easing cost pressures faced by producers of goods and services across key sectors of the economy.
On a year-on-year basis, Producer Price Inflation closed the year at 1.9 percent, confirming that price movements at the producer level remained subdued throughout 2025. The PPI measures changes in prices received by producers for their output and often serves as an early indicator of future movements in consumer prices.
Understanding the December Decline in Producer Prices
The 0.8 percent month-on-month decline in December indicates that producers, on average, received lower prices for their goods and services compared to the previous month. This easing suggests reduced cost pressures within supply chains, improved production efficiencies, and a relatively stable macroeconomic environment at the close of the year.
Economists note that month-on-month declines are particularly significant because they capture short-term price dynamics. In this case, the December data points to a cooling of producer costs at a time when inflationary pressures had been a concern in earlier periods. The result also signals that producers were less compelled to pass higher costs onto wholesalers and retailers.
Diverging Trends Between Industry and Services
Despite the overall decline in monthly producer prices, sectoral data reveals contrasting developments between industry and services. The industrial sector recorded an annual inflation rate of 2.1 percent in December 2025, up from 1.6 percent in November. This increase reflects a modest rise in costs within manufacturing, mining, quarrying, and utilities toward the end of the year.
The uptick in industrial inflation suggests that while overall producer prices fell in December, certain cost components such as energy inputs, raw materials, and operational expenses remained elevated in some industrial activities. However, analysts describe the increase as moderate and not indicative of renewed inflationary pressures.
In contrast, the services sector continued to exhibit strong price stability. Services recorded an annual producer inflation rate of just 0.6 percent in December. On a month-on-month basis, service prices increased marginally by 0.2 percent, underscoring limited pricing pressures across sectors such as transport, hospitality, finance, and professional services.
Alignment With Ghana’s Disinflationary Trend
The subdued Producer Price Inflation outturn aligns closely with broader disinflationary developments in the Ghanaian economy. Earlier in the month, Government Statistician Dr Alhassan Iddrisu announced that consumer inflation had eased to 5.4 percent, marking a multi-year low. The combination of low producer inflation and easing consumer prices highlights improving macroeconomic stability.
Producer prices are a critical link in the inflation chain, as sustained increases at the factory gate typically feed into higher consumer prices over time. The December decline therefore strengthens expectations that retail prices will remain relatively stable in the near term.
Key Drivers Behind Lower Producer Price Pressures
Analysts attribute the easing of producer price pressures to several interconnected factors. Relative stability of the Ghana cedi during the latter part of 2025 helped reduce the cost of imported inputs used in production. Improved domestic production also contributed, particularly in agriculture and light manufacturing, where supply conditions strengthened.
Additionally, softer global commodity prices reduced input costs for producers reliant on energy, metals, and imported raw materials. These global developments, combined with prudent fiscal and monetary coordination, created an environment that allowed producer prices to cool gradually.
Implications for Consumers and Businesses in 2026
The decline in producer prices has positive implications for both consumers and businesses as Ghana enters 2026. Lower factory-gate costs typically translate into more stable or even reduced retail prices, providing relief to households and supporting purchasing power.
For businesses, a low and stable PPI environment enhances planning certainty and improves profit margins, especially for small and medium-sized enterprises that are more sensitive to cost fluctuations. Manufacturers and service providers may also benefit from improved competitiveness, particularly in export markets where price stability is a key advantage.
Meanwhile, analysts are cautiously optimistic that the disinflationary momentum will continue into 2026, provided macroeconomic stability is maintained. While sector-specific pressures may persist, especially within industry, the overall producer price environment suggests limited upside risks to inflation.
The December decline in producer prices reinforces confidence that Ghana’s inflation management efforts are yielding results. As factory-gate prices ease and consumer inflation trends downward, the economy appears well positioned for steadier growth and improved price stability in the year ahead.
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