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The Fate Of Credit Suisse Could Be Decided In The Next 24 Hours

March 19, 2023
Stephen M.Cby Stephen M.C
in Banking
0
The Fate Of Credit Suisse Could Be Decided In The Next 24 Hours

The fate of UBS and Credit Suisse

The fate of Credit Suisse could be decided in the next 24 hours after a torrid week for Switzerland’s second biggest bank.

Local media has disclosed that the Swiss cabinet gathered for a crisis meeting at 5 p.m. local time (12 p.m. ET) Saturday at the finance ministry to discuss the bank’s future, as reports swirled of a possible takeover of the ailing bank by its biggest Swiss rival, UBS.

Investors and customers have pulled their money out of Credit Suisse over the past several days as turmoil swept the global banking industry following the collapse of two US lenders.

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According to Morningstar, despite an emergency $54 billion loan from the Swiss National Bank, shares of Credit Suisse lost 25% over the course of the week. The price of financial contracts designed to protect investors against possible losses on its bonds soared to record levels. More than $450 million was pulled from European and US funds managed by the bank between Monday and Wednesday.

The lifeline from the Swiss central bank – which was announced late Wednesday night after the stock had crashed to a new record low, only bought Credit Suisse (CS) some time.

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Switzerland National bank

Reuters and the Financial Times (T), citing people familiar with the matter, both reported that Swiss regulators were urging the banks to agree to a deal before markets open Monday to shore up confidence in the country’s banking system.

The FT said the boards of UBS and Credit Suisse were expected to meet separately over the weekend.

BlackRock (BLK), which owns 4% of Credit Suisse, denied a separate report in the Financial Times that it was drawing up an alternative bid for all or part of the beleaguered bank.

Credit Suisse And Its Current Hurdles

“BlackRock is not participating in any plans to acquire all or any part of Credit Suisse, and has no interest in doing so.”

A BlackRock spokesperson told CNN.
b
BlackRock

Credit Suisse, which is among the 30 most important banks in the global financial system, has been on the ropes for years following a series of scandals, huge losses and strategic missteps. Its stock is down 75% over the past 12 months. But the crisis of confidence escalated rapidly this month.

The failure of Silicon Valley Bank last week – the biggest US lender since the global financial crisis of 2008, sent investors fleeing other players perceived as weak.

The failure of Silicon Valley Bank last week, the biggest by a US lender since the global financial crisis of 2008, sent investors fleeing other players perceived as weak.

Then, Credit Suisse dropped another bombshell. Publishing its annual report on Tuesday, the 167-year-old bank (Credit Suisse) acknowledged “material weakness” in its financial reporting, adding it had failed to adequately identify potential risks to its financial statements.

The following day, its biggest shareholder — the Saudi National Bank — made clear it would not be pumping any more money into the bank, after spending $1.5 billion last year for a stake of almost 10%. That spooked investors.

In a note on Thursday, JPMorgan banking analysts wrote that a takeover by UBS was the most probable endgame.

UBS would likely spin off Credit Suisse’s Swiss business since the combined market share would make up about 30% of Switzerland’s domestic banking market and mean ‘too much concentration risk and market share control.’

Read also: Credit Suisse Shares Soar As It Announces Decision to Borrow up to $54 billion from Central Bank

Tags: BlackRock (BLK)Credit SuisseSaudi National BankSilicon Valley Bank
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