A recent phone poll conducted by Global InfoAnalytics across all 16 regions of Ghana revealed a concerning trend, with 73% of voters expressing the belief that the country is headed in the wrong direction.
In contrast, only 20% of respondents think Ghana is on the right track, while 7% remain undecided, just 90 days before the nation heads to the polls.
The poll showed a significant majority of voters (63%) disapproving of the president’s performance, with only 30% expressing approval and 7% remaining undecided.
Meanwhile, the governing party’s performance was rated as poor by 53% of respondents, with 28% viewing it as good, 6% as excellent, and 13% as average, highlighting a stark contrast in public opinion.
“On voters’ standard of living compared to a year ago, 20% say it has improved, 55% say it has gotten worse, 19% say it has not changed and 7% did not have an opinion. On corruption, 60% of voters say it has gotten worse, 17% say it has improved, 16% say it has not changed and 7% did not have an opinion”.
“70% of voters have confidence in the security services to manage security during the election while 22% did not have confidence and 8% did not have an opinion. 58% of voters have confidence in the Electoral Commission compared to 30% who did not have confidence in the commission and 12% who did not have an opinion”.
Global InfoAnalytics
The polls showed a significant majority of voters (77%) expressed concerns about the potential for electoral violence, indicating widespread unease ahead of the upcoming elections.
Conversely, just 23% of respondents said they have no concerns whatsoever about violence occurring during the polls.
Global InfoAnalytics found that voters prioritize a party’s past performance (54%) and the current economic conditions (53%) as the top factors influencing their voting decisions.
Meanwhile, other considerations, such as a candidate’s credibility (39%), party manifestoes (20%), and other reasons (18%), trailed behind as less significant factors in shaping voters’ choices.
According to the poll, the economy (86%) and jobs (81%) emerged as the clear top priorities for voters, far surpassing other concerns.
Education trailed behind, but still remained a significant issue, with 40% of respondents citing it as a key priority.
Mahama Leads in Voter Connection and Empathy
Furthermore, a significant plurality of voters (49%) indicated that John Dramani Mahama is the leading candidate who best understands and cares for people like them, according to Global InfoAnalytics.
In contrast, 28% of respondents said Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia shares this understanding, while a notable 20% expressed skepticism that none of the leading candidates genuinely care about their concerns.
The polls suggested that John Dramani Mahama holds a significant lead with 50.0% of the vote among all voters, followed by Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia with 29.6%, while other candidates trail behind.
When focusing on likely voters, John Dramani Mahama’s lead expands to 53.3%, with Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia at 31.6%, indicating a potential surge in support for John Mahama among those most likely to cast their ballots.
“The poll also shows that among first-time voters, JDM leads with 53%, DMB, 15%, NKB, 7%, others, 1%, and 24% are undecided. However, among non-first-time voters, JDM also leads with 53%, DMB, 33%, AKK, 1%, NKB, 2% and undecided, 11%”.
“The poll also shows that of all voters who are undecided, 70% are floating voters, 11% are NPP voters, 21% did not disclose their party affiliations and 1% are NDC voters. For those who say they will not vote, 49% are floating voters, 21% are NPP voters, 1% and 28% did not disclose their party affiliations”.
Global InfoAnalytics
The poll further revealed intriguing trends in voter loyalty and preferences.
Within the NPP base, 81% support Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, but a notable 12% would defect to John Dramani Mahama, while among NDC loyalists, a vast 97% back John Dramani Mahama, with only 1% considering Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia.
Meanwhile, floating voters lean towards John Dramani Mahama (55%) over Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia (12%)
Those without disclosed party affiliations show a more divided preference, with John Dramani Mahama (27%) edging Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia (19%), and a significant 46% remaining undecided.
The poll indicated that a significant majority of voters (81%) have made up their minds and are unlikely to switch their voting preferences, while a small proportion (11%) remain open to changing their mind.
The remaining 8% are undecided or neutral, indicating a relatively stable electoral landscape with few voters still up for grabs.
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