Looking out for measures to curb the current situations prevailing in the banking sector and economy, the Centre for Democracy and Socio-economic Development (CDS) Africa has made proposals to address some of the challenges in the sector and in the economy at large.
Among the proposals, CDS Africa said it is important for banks to carefully balance the risks and rewards of their investment and lending strategies, considering the specific economic and market conditions in which they operate.
Government securities may offer some degree of safety, however, CDS Africa has noted it is significant for banks to also consider that they may not be entirely insulated against risk as had been the case over the past years.
In a statement issued by Dr Frank Bannor and Dr. Abena Boateng, Senior Research and Policy Analyst and Director of Research respectively, the two parties communicated the need for banks to have a diversified portfolio of assets and investments, rather than relying too heavily on any one type of investment.
According to them, it is also essential for regulators to ensure that banks are adequately capitalized and have effective risk management practices in place to limit the risks associated with their investments.
“The Bank of Ghana must pursue a deliberate policy of encouraging banks to increase their lending to the private sector, particularly to SMEs. In doing so the Bank of Ghana will be supporting the growth and development of the private sector, which is essential for long-term economic growth and job creation.
“The Bank of Ghana must ensure a balanced approach that supports both the growth of the private sector and the stability of the banking architecture. Such a measure is essential for sustainable economic development.”
Statement issued by Dr Frank Bannor and Dr. Abena Boateng
Bank Holdings
Commenting on banks holdings, CDS Africa disclosed that the statistics from the Bank of Ghana (BoG) revealed banking sector’s holdings of government securities have increased significantly.
CDS Africa explained that in December 2019, the sum of the banks’ bills and securities investments climbed by 27% to GH48.45 billion. Similarly, bank investments in government instruments increased by 33.6% in 2018.
Not limited to that, CDS Africa further mentioned that banks in Ghana held 30.6% of the total outstanding government bonds in 2020, compared to 17.2% in 2019.
“The data suggests that at the end of December 2019, commercial banks in Ghana had a largely skewed investment portfolio towards long-term debt instruments, with securities making up 68.2% of their investments.
“This is an increase from 66.5% in December 2018. Conversely, the proportion of short-term bills in total investments declined from 32.4% in December 2018 to 30.9% in December 2019. The trend is more worrying when compared to 2016 and 2017 figures.”
CDS Africa
CDS Africa reckoned that in 2016, banks’ investment in securities was 19.1% with 79% investment in bills. By 2017, banks’ investment in securities had climbed to 41.2% with investment in bills decreasing to 57.3%. This shift towards long-term debt instruments is consistent with the trend of banks investing more heavily in government securities, as these tend to be longer-term instruments that provide a steady stream of income over time.
The Adventure Of SMEs
The increase in investment in government bonds by commercial banks, other things being equal, means a decline in lending to the private sector. This preference for investing in government bonds over lending to private businesses leaves much to worry about as a nation.
It has the tendency of hindering the growth of the private sector and has a negative impact on economic growth and job creation, particularly in the small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) sector.
SMEs, as stated in the statement are often have limited access to credit, and the reduction in lending by banks to the private sector may exacerbate this problem.
Furthermore, the increased investment in government securities by banks may lead to a crowding-out effect, where the government borrows more from the domestic market, reducing the availability of credit to the private sector.
“This could hinder private sector growth and job creation, which are essential for economic development. It is also true that the Covid-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the global economy, including in Ghana.
“The uncertainty and increased risk associated with default have made it more difficult for banks to make lending decisions. As a result, some banks have turned to investing in Government of Ghana securities, which are relatively safe and offer high interest rates.”
CDS Africa
However, the strategy, according to CDS Africa, poses its own risks.
CDS Africa in its analysis mentioned that any restructuring of the government’s debt through bond swaps or zero-coupon bonds could pose liquidity problems for banks that depended on coupon payments.
“By investing heavily in government securities, banks may have missed out on lending opportunities to individuals and businesses, which could have generated higher returns but also carried lower default risk.”
CDS Africa
