France, a key EU member state, has been plunged into deeper political crisis as the minority government of Michel Barnier has been toppled by a no-confidence vote.
This came after his decision to push the social security component of the 2025 budget through parliament without a vote.
Barnier’s administration, the shortest-lived in the history of France’s Fifth Republic that began in 1958, is the first to be ousted by a motion of no confidence since Georges Pompidou’s in 1962.
The debacle stems from President Emmanuel Macron’s decision to dissolve parliament in June. July’s snap election returned a parliament divided into three main blocs, none with a majority.
The New Popular Front (NFP), an alliance of left-leaning parties that has the most seats in parliament, tabled a no confidence motion amid a standoff over next year’s austerity budget, after the Prime Minister on Monday, December 2, 2024, forced through a social security financing bill without a vote.
The no confidence motion was backed by the far right National Rally (RN), the largest single party.
That gave the opposition parties comfortably more than the 288 votes they needed to bring the government down. In the end, 331 voted in favour of the no-confidence motion.
In his final speech before the vote, Barnier said, “I can tell you that it will remain an honour for me to have served France and the French with dignity.”
“This no-confidence motion … will make everything more serious and more difficult. That’s what I’m sure of.”
Michel Barnier
Laurent Wauquiez, the Head of rightwing deputies in parliament, stated that the far right and hard left bore the responsibility for a no-confidence vote that will “plunge the country into instability.”
With markets nervous and France bracing for public-sector strikes against the threat of cuts, action that will shut schools and hit air and rail traffic, there is a growing sense of crisis.
Unions called for civil servants, including teachers and air-traffic controllers, to strike on Thursday, December 5, 2024, over separate cost-cutting measures.
The no confidence vote result also mark a significant blow for the European Union at a time when Germany is also mired in a parliamentary election campaign until February and weeks before Donald Trump returns to the White House.
Barnier To Tender Resignation
Barnier is now obliged to tender his resignation and that of his government to Macron, who may ask him to stay on in a caretaker capacity or try to appoint a new prime minister.
A caretaker government should be able to roll over the 2024 budget to ensure the government is not forced to shut down, but with no fresh elections permitted until July 2025 and parliament more bitterly divided than ever, the prospects for achieving a stable government look slim.
Candidates for the post of Prime Minister are few, but loyalist Defence Minister Sebastien Lecornu and Macron’s centrist ally, Francois Bayrou are possible contenders.
On the left, Macron could turn to the former Socialist Prime Minister and Interior Minister Bernard Cazeneuve, a contender in September.
According to sources, Macron may appoint the new Prime Minister rapidly.
A source close to Macron said that the President, who has taken time with appointments in the past, had “no choice” but to do so within 24 hours.
Barnier was the fifth Prime Minister since Macron came to power in 2017, with each serving a successively shorter period.
Given the turbulence, the new nominee risks an even shorter term than Barnier, whose tenure was the shortest of any administration since the Fifth Republic began in 1958.
Meanwhile, the Elysée disclosed that Macron, who has over two years of his presidential term left, would address the nation on Thursday evening.
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