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Fiscal Traps Loom for Ghana’s Incoming Government

Evans Junior Owuby Evans Junior Owu
December 13, 2024
Reading Time: 4 mins read
President Akufo-Addo and President-Elect John Dramani Mahama

President Akufo-Addo and President-Elect John Dramani Mahama

The Honorary Vice President of IMANI Centre for Policy and Education, Bright Simons has raised alarm over what he described as looming fiscal traps awaiting Ghana’s next government, expected to be led by the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC). 

His sharp critique comes amidst allegations of financial improprieties and poor governance during the current administration’s final days in power.

“Watchers of Ghana politics must have heard complaints from the NDC (lead opposition party/incoming govt) side of the ongoing transition of political power concerning tens of millions of dollars being paid out to a vendor of the state-owned electricity utility at this late hour. The NDC claims to have blocked this payment for now.”

Bright Simons, Honorary Vice President of IMANI Centre for Policy and Education

While the NDC claims to have blocked the payments, the seasoned policy analyst painted a dire picture of the fiscal crisis the next government is set to inherit.

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“The episode would make some think that the task of lessening the effect of the fiscal bomb awaiting the NDC when it takes office in January 2025 would involve a lot of cloak & dagger and undercover moves to retrieve stashed loot under beds and in foreign tax havens,” Bright Simons remarked, adding that such efforts have historically failed to meet expectations.

Hidden Fiscal Liabilities: The Agenda 111 Project

Bright Simons  further pointed to the government’s ambitious Agenda 111 initiative—a plan to construct 111 hospitals and clinics—as a prime example of fiscal mismanagement.

Launched under the pretext of addressing COVID-19 healthcare gaps, Bright Simons contended that the project was initiated without adequate budgetary provisions or a clear medium-term expenditure strategy.

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“The Health Ministry was not directly involved in strategy, so there are no plans on how to stock these “111” large hospitals/clinics, staff them, or provide for their maintenance. Nor is it clear from which department’s budget these costs will be serviced.”

Bright Simons, Honorary Vice President of IMANI Centre for Policy and Education

He alleged that everything was orchestrated from the Chief of Staff’s Office at the Office of the President, with contractors handpicked for the multi-billion-dollar opportunity.

Bright Simons 1
Bright Simons, Honorary Vice President of IMANI Centre for Policy and Education

Key beneficiaries of the contracts according to Bright Simons include renowned architect David Adjaye and luxury estate developer Buena Vista. 

“No one really knows how much the whole spread will cost. In 2021, $100 million was released to get things started and pay “mobilisation”. Since then, reports say a further $300 million has been released to contractors.

“None of the hospitals have been fully completed and certified as built to the requisite clinical standards. It is up to the next government to foot the bill”.

Bright Simons, Honorary Vice President of IMANI Centre for Policy and Education

Bright Simons also pointed out that the total cost of the project remains opaque, with estimates ranging from $1.45 billion to an alarming $7.5 billion—a figure that dwarfs the $3 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout package Ghana secured earlier this year

IMF Oversight, Structural Reforms and Potential Fallout for the Incoming Administration

The IMANI’s Honorary Vice President expressed bewilderment at the IMF’s seeming approval of the government’s spending spree despite the country being under a program designed to constrain expenditure. 

He noted that nearly 70% of the IMF’s $3 billion support has already been disbursed to the current administration, ostensibly for “good performance”, asserting that most of the painful structural reforms, however, have been left for the next government to tackle.

The IMANI executive predicted that the incoming government may face no choice but to revise Ghana’s macroeconomic indicators, including fiscal deficit and true debt levels, following a comprehensive audit. 

These revelations, he hopes, could lead to renegotiations with the IMF to adjust program targets and potentially increase the financing package.

Bright Simons’ remarks underscore a broader call for greater transparency and accountability in the management of state resources. “It is shocking that no one is talking about these liabilities, which could overshadow even the energy sector arrears feared to trigger another round of power outages,” he cautioned.

As Ghana prepares for a potential change in government, Bright Simons’ warnings add a critical dimension to ongoing debates about fiscal responsibility and governance. 

The new administration will undoubtedly face immense pressure to address these challenges while managing public expectations for swift economic recovery.

READ ALSO: CSOs Urge Mahama’s Government to Terminate SML, Agyapa Royalties Contracts 

Tags: Agenda 111 ProjectBright SimonsFiscal TrapsIMANI Centre of Policy and EducationIMFNDCstructural reforms
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