The Executive Director for Global Info Analytics, Musa Danquah has revealed a worrying trend for both the National Democratic Congress and the New Patriotic Party ahead of the December 7 polls.
According to Mr Danquah, based on a comprehensive analysis of its December 2023 survey, the opposition National Democratic Congress even though traditionally strong in regions such as the Upper West, Bono, Bono East, and Volta Region, faces significant uncertainties in terms of how voters would change its voting intention.
He noted that despite the party leading in the above-mentioned regions, a considerable portion of voters remain uncommitted to vote for the party.
“Are the windows closing on the campaign teams to change voters’ mindset with their manifestoes? According to the December poll, only 16% said they are likely going to change their voting intentions while 17% are neutral about whether they will change their mind. Over 2/3 of voters, 67% said they are unlikely to change their mind”
Musa Danquah
In the Upper West region, where the National Democratic Congress has a substantial lead, Mr Danquah noted that a staggering 73% of voters have not firmly pledged their support to the party while in the Volta region, which is considered a stronghold for the party only 35% of voters express neutrality towards potentially changing their voting intentions.
Similarly, in Bono and Bono East, where the NDC currently leads, the Executive Director for Global Info Analytics stated that 32% and 28% of voters respectively have not committed to vote for the opposition party.
NPP Trails Across All Regions
That notwithstanding, the Executive Director for Global Info Analytics, Musa Danquah recounted that the challenges for the New Patriotic Party appear even more daunting as it trailed across all the regions.
He noted that the ruling New Patriotic Party trailed positions in all regions except the North East in terms of how voters could change their voting intentions ahead of the 2024 general elections.
Citing the case of the Ashanti region, which is the ruling party’s stronghold, Mr Danquah noted that only 8% of voters are likely to change their minds to vote for the ruling New Patriotic Party while in the Eastern region only 24% of voters are likely to change their minds.
According to Musa Daquah, the ruling New Patriotic Party must address significant hurdles to secure electoral success in the above regions in the December 7 polls.
However, the Executive Director for Global Info Analytics asserted that support for former President John Dramani Mahama is unlikely to decline as 91% of voters across the nation are unlikely to change their voting intentions, signaling a potentially stable support base for the opposition party.
Moreover, Musa Danquah asserted that some regions in the country hold pivotal importance in determining electoral outcomes in the 2024 general elections.
He noted that the Northern region is a key target for the governing New Patriotic Party, yet its data suggests some challenges for the ruling party.
Conversely, Mr Daquah stated that the Central region is also critical for both parties’ chances of winning the 2024 presidential election as substantial 76% of voters express reluctance to change their minds, which is significantly higher than the national average of 67%.
In addition, the Executive Director for Global Info Analytics, Musa Danquah posited that the selection of Professor Jane Naana Opoku-Agyeman as the National Democratic Congress’s Vice-Presidential candidate could potentially help the opposition party in winning the Central Region, although her ultimate impact remains uncertain.
Mr Danquah concluded his remarks by stating that the decisions and actions taken by both the National Democratic Congress and the ruling New Patriotic Party in response to its data and analysis would go a long way to shape the outcome of the 2024 general elections.
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