Global InfoAnalytics has projected that former President John Dramani Mahama, the presidential candidate of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), is strongly favored to win the 2024 presidential election, according to its final poll.
The agency revealed that its final survey for the December 2024 elections places Mahama as the frontrunner.
The poll results show Mahama leading with 51.9%, followed by the ruling party’s candidate, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, at 40.5%. Alan Kwadwo Kyeremanten garnered 2.1%, Nana Kwame Bediako 4.7%, and other candidates 0.7%.
“The poll shows that while the race has tightened in the swing regions of Greater Accra, Central, and Western region, the Akan and the northern regions appear to be deteriorating for the ruling party less than three weeks before Ghanaians head to the polls.
“In the swing regions, JDM is at 51.1%, DMB at 39.5%, AKK, at 2.0%, NKB, at 7.0%, and others, at 0.4%. In the Akans regions, DMB leads with 46.6%, JDM, at 44.5%, AKK, at 2.6%, NKB, at 5.6%, and others, with 0.9%”.
Global InfoAnalytics
In the Northern regions, John Dramani Mahama leads with 64.7%, followed by Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia at 33.9%, with Alan Kwadwo Kyeremanten and Nana Kwame Bediako each securing 0.7%.
In the Volta and Oti regions, Mahama dominates with 72.7%, while Bawumia trails with 19.7%.
Kyeremanten garners 2.2%, Bediako 3.3%, and other candidates collectively receive 2.2%.
Global InfoAnalytics further revealed that its six-week polling average shows Mahama leading in 13 out of Ghana’s 16 regions, while Bawumia maintains a lead in the remaining three regions. “The poll shows JDM is leading in Ahafo and Bono regions, traditional regions that have voted for the ruling party in the past elections”.
The polling agency also reported that among floating or independent voters, John Mahama leads with 63%, followed by Nana Kwame Bediako at 17%, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia at 13%, Alan Kyerematen at 5%, and other candidates at 2%.
Additionally, among first-time voters, who constitute approximately 5% of the total registered electorate, Mahama leads with 48%, Bawumia follows with 39%, Bediako secures 8%, and Kyerematen garners 5%.
63% of Voters Say Ghana Is on the Wrong Track
Furthermore, Global InfoAnalytics revealed that 63% of voters believe Ghana is on the wrong track, while 29% think it is moving in the right direction under Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia.
The poll also noted a significant recovery in the president’s approval rating after nearing an all-time low in the previous week.
Currently, 35% of voters approve of the president’s performance, while 59% disapprove, marking an improvement from the 65% disapproval recorded the week before.
“Net disapproval of the president which stood at -37% last week, now stands at -24%.
“The economy is expected to dominate voters’ concern as they head to the polls in December 2024 as the poll shows the economy remains the top issue of concern for voters as nearly 77% of top issues mentioned was the economy, followed by jobs, 65% and education 52%. Economy, jobs, and education account for nearly 65% of the voters’ concern for this election”.
Global InfoAnalytics
Global InfoAnalytics reported that among voters who identify the economy as their primary concern, 55% intend to vote for John Mahama, while 38% support Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia.
Similarly, for voters prioritizing job creation, Mahama leads with 55% compared to Bawumia’s 38%.
The poll also highlighted Mahama’s advantage among those who prioritize education. “John Mahama also leads with 49% and Dr Bawumia with 43%”.
According to the poll, 55% of voters believe their personal economic situation has worsened over the past year, while 29% report an improvement, and 17% say their circumstances remain unchanged.
This reflects a majority sentiment of economic dissatisfaction among voters.
The survey also revealed that 90% of voters have firmly decided on their choice for the upcoming election and are unlikely to change their voting intention.
Only 4% expressed a willingness to reconsider their decision, while 6% remained neutral, indicating they could potentially shift their support.
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