Gold Fields, one of the world’s leading gold mining companies, has announced a significant reduction in its annual output forecast for 2024.
This marks the second time this year that the Johannesburg-based company has lowered its production targets. The decision comes in the wake of unusually severe winter conditions that disrupted operations at its new Salares Norte mine in Chile, among other setbacks.
The Salares Norte mine, located in Chile’s Atacama region, was expected to ramp up production as part of Gold Fields’ strategy to boost its overall output. However, the early arrival of winter, coupled with unexpectedly harsh conditions, led to significant operational challenges. CEO Mike Fraser acknowledged that the company’s initial targets for the mine were “ambitious” and that the decision to push for a ramp-up during winter proved to be a costly mistake.
Fraser explained that the extreme cold caused some of the pipes at the mine’s processing plant to freeze, effectively halting production for two months. “The massive lesson here is attempting a ramp-up during winter was the wrong thing,” he said, reflecting on the difficulties encountered.
Revised Output Forecast
As a result of the disruptions at Salares Norte, Gold Fields has revised its 2024 output forecast to between two million ounces and 2.15 million ounces of gold. This represents a 7% decrease from its previous estimate and marks the lowest output forecast for the company since 2013, when it sold several South African mines to Sibanye Stillwater.
This is not the first time Gold Fields has had to adjust its production expectations this year. The company initially targeted 2.43 million ounces of gold but was forced to lower that estimate due to various operational challenges. The announcement of the latest revision had an immediate impact on the company’s stock, with shares falling by 5.66% in early trading on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange.
The issues at Salares Norte were not the only factors contributing to the revised forecast. Gold Fields also faced production setbacks at its South Deep mine in South Africa and the Gruyere mine in Australia. The South Deep mine, which is the company’s only remaining operation in South Africa, has long been a source of difficulties due to its complex geology and operational challenges.
Meanwhile, the Gruyere mine in Australia was hit by excessive rains, further compounding the company’s production woes. These setbacks have taken a toll on Gold Fields’ financial performance, with the miner reporting a 30% drop in profit for the first half of 2024, totaling US$320.7 million.
Strategic Shifts and Future Outlook
Despite these challenges, Gold Fields remains committed to its strategy of focusing on more lucrative deposits outside of South Africa. The company has gradually shifted its operations towards regions like Ghana, Australia, and the Americas, where it sees greater potential for growth and profitability.
In line with this strategy, Gold Fields recently agreed to acquire Canadian miner Osisko Mining for approximately US$1.57 billion. This acquisition is expected to bolster the company’s portfolio and provide additional opportunities for growth in the Americas region.
Looking ahead, Fraser expressed optimism that the second half of the year would bring some improvement in production levels. He also indicated that the company expects output to rise in 2025 as the challenges at Salares Norte and other operations are resolved.
Despite the setbacks, Gold Fields has maintained its commitment to returning value to shareholders. The company declared an interim dividend of three rand per share, signaling confidence in its long-term strategy despite the short-term challenges.
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