According to data from Global InfoAnalytics, in the Greater Accra region, John Dramani Mahama holds a significant lead with 66% of the vote, followed by DMB with 19%.
The survey also reveals that 4% of respondents are undecided, while 6% stated they will not participate in the 2024 general election.
Mussa Dankwah, founder of Global InfoAnalytics, revealed that a recent poll in the Greater Accra region shows a significant crossover vote, with 20% of NPP supporters intending to vote for John Dramani Mahama (JDM).
The poll, according to Dankwah, also indicates that 64% of NPP voters will support Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia (DMB), 8% will vote for Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen (AKK), 1% are undecided, and 8% will abstain from voting.
“For those who are NDC, 96% intend to vote for JDM, 2% for DMB, 1% for other and 0% will not vote. Among Floating voters, 78% intend to vote for JDM, 6% for DMB, 4% for AKK, 2% for others, 6% are undecided and 5% will not vote”.
Mussa Dankwah
According to Mussa Dankwah, the poll results for the Greater Accra region further reveal a notable shift in voter sentiment among those who supported President Nana Akufo-Addo in the 2020 election.
Specifically, 36% of these voters now intend to vote for John Dramani Mahama (JDM), while 48% will vote for Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, 7% for Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen, 1% for other candidates, 2% are undecided, and 6% have opted out of voting altogether.
Mussa Dankwah observed that, in contrast, an overwhelming majority (94%) of voters who supported John Mahama in the previous election remain loyal to him, while a small percentage defected to other candidates: 2% now support Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, 1% support Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen, 1% are undecided, and 2% have opted out of voting.
He highlighted that among those who abstained from voting in the previous election, a significant majority (66%) now intend to vote for John Mahama, while a smaller proportion will vote for other candidates: 3% for Dr. Bawumia, 7% for Alan Kyerematen, 4% for other candidates, and 4% are still undecided.
Meanwhile, a sizable 15% of this group remains disenchanted with the political process and intends to abstain from voting again in the upcoming election.
US And Ghana Polls Show Stark Contrast
Furthermore, Mussa Dankwah pointed out that a comparative analysis of the data from the US polls and the Greater Accra polls reveals a stark contrast, highlighting significant differences between the two sets of data.
He observed that while the US polls indicate a tight and competitive race, the Greater Accra polls paint a different picture, with a clear lead for one candidate, unlike the neck-and-neck contest seen in the US data.
“Closer examination of the chart presented by Morning Consult, one can see the similarity between how they present their report and how Global InfoAnalytics presents its polling report. First, the overall race shows that 44% intend to vote for Biden while 43% will vote for Trump. The poll also shows that 8% of voters intend to vote for other candidates while 5% are undecided”.
Mussa Dankwah
As such, Mussa Dankwah emphasized that this kind of in-depth analysis is the hallmark of scientific pollsters, unlike mere guesswork or lotto forecasters.
This, Dankwah indicated, is precisely why reputable organizations trust and rely on Global InfoAnalytics for accurate and reliable polling data.
Mussa Dankwah, defending the research methodology of Global InfoAnalytics, explained that the organization conducted extensive interviews with 1,206 voters across 10 constituencies in the Greater Accra Region.
The interviews were held specifically in Ningo Prampram, Korle Klottey, Dadekotopon, Okaikwei North, Krowor, Kpone-Katamanso, Ledzokuku, Ablekuma West, Amasaman, and Shai-Osudoku, ensuring a representative sample of opinions in the region.
“The poll is not a prediction of what the results of the December election will be but if the polls were held in April 2024”. – Mussa Dankwah
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