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Cocoa Sector Crisis: Government Exposes Fiscal Risks

Lilian Ahedorby Lilian Ahedor
March 11, 2025
Reading Time: 5 mins read
Lilian Ahedorby Lilian Ahedor
in Agribusiness
0
Cocoa farmers shortchanged?

Cocoa Production in Ghana

The government has laid bare the dire financial and operational challenges facing Ghana’s cocoa sector, highlighting a significant decline in production, mounting debt, and financial mismanagement that threaten the industry’s sustainability. 

Presenting the 2025 Budget in Parliament on Wednesday, March 11, 2025, the Minister of Finance, Dr. Cassiel Ato Forson, detailed the fiscal risks surrounding the cocoa sector, warning that despite record-high global cocoa prices, Ghana is failing to reap the expected economic benefits.

“Mr. Speaker, the cocoa sector, which has long been the backbone of the Ghanaian economy, is sadly on its knees owing to gross mismanagement in the last few years and is now unable to support the economy as it should despite record-high world market prices.” 

Dr. Cassiel Ato Forson

The Finance Minister has raised serious concerns over the sharp decline in cocoa production over the past three years, highlighting its impact on the Ghana Cocoa Board’s (COCOBOD) ability to fulfill financial and contractual commitments. 

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He revealed that cocoa output had fallen by nearly 50%, posing significant challenges for the sector.

In the 2023/2024 crop season, COCOBOD was unable to deliver 330,000 tonnes of cocoa required to meet its contractual obligations. 

As a result, this supply shortfall has now been deferred for fulfillment under the new administration. 

The Minister emphasized that addressing this production crisis is crucial to stabilizing Ghana’s cocoa industry and ensuring its long-term viability.

The Minister explained that Ghana’s inability to fulfill these supply contracts has had dire financial implications. 

cocoa sector gets increase
Hon. Cassiel Ato Forson, Finance Minister

“Mr. Speaker, these 2023/24 forward sales contracts locked in at lower prices than current market rates have resulted in revenue losses of US$840 million for both COCOBOD and impoverished Ghanaian farmers.” 

Dr. Cassiel Ato Forson

He further warned that the deferred cocoa contracts would continue to incur financial losses in the years ahead, with projections indicating an additional $495 million in losses for 2025 alone. 

The implications are severe, as every tonne of cocoa delivered to fulfill these rolled-over contracts is expected to cost COCOBOD and Ghanaian farmers approximately $4,000 in lost revenue. 

This situation, he stressed, underscores the urgent need for corrective measures to stabilize the cocoa sector and protect farmers from further financial setbacks.

Financial Strain and Unsustainable Debt

Furthermore, Dr. Cassiel Ato Forson revealed the staggering debt burden facing COCOBOD, warning that its financial position has become increasingly precarious.

COCOBOD’s total outstanding debt, as of 2025, stands at a massive GH¢32 billion, with GH¢11.92 billion due for repayment within the year.

Cocoa sector farms to be included on 2025 budget
Cocoa Farms

In addition, cocoa road contracts have created further financial strain, with total commitments ballooning to GH¢21 billion (approximately $1.3 billion) in 2024. 

However, of this amount, only GH¢4.4 billion has been formally recorded in COCOBOD’s financial statements, raising concerns about transparency and accountability in the sector’s fiscal management.

Beyond production and financial woes, the Finance Minister also highlighted the issue of cocoa smuggling, which continues to undermine Ghana’s cocoa sector. 

“There are also risks in relation to market price differentials and smuggling. The large gap between market prices and farmer payments encourages smuggling and threatens the long-term sustainability of the industry.” 

Dr. Cassiel Ato Forson
cocoa sector

Dr. Forson warned that if the current decline in cocoa production remains unaddressed, it could have far-reaching consequences for the long-term viability of the industry. 

He stressed that the continuous financial losses and the inability to meet contractual obligations could weaken the sector, jeopardizing the livelihoods of farmers and reducing Ghana’s competitive edge in the global cocoa market. 

Without immediate and strategic interventions, he cautioned, the industry could face a prolonged crisis that would be difficult to reverse.

The Finance Minister’s revelations signal an urgent need for comprehensive reforms within the cocoa sector. 

With declining production, massive debt, and financial mismanagement crippling COCOBOD’s operations, stakeholders are calling for immediate interventions to stabilize the industry.

The government has yet to outline a clear roadmap for addressing these challenges, but analysts and industry experts argue that policy reforms, improved financial management, and better pricing strategies for farmers will be critical in restoring the sector to its former glory.

As Ghana’s cocoa sector grapples with these challenges, all eyes will be on the government’s next steps in tackling the crisis and ensuring a sustainable future for the industry and the millions of livelihoods it supports.

READ ALSO: NHS England to Reduce Workforce by Half

Tags: Cocoa ProductionCocoa sectorCOCOBODFiscal RisksGhana Economy
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