A new tracking poll conducted by Global InfoAnalytics has revealed shifting dynamics within the leadership contest of the National Democratic Congress, with Finance Minister Dr Cassiel Ato Forson emerging as the frontrunner in head-to-head matchups against key contenders.

The findings point to a competitive internal race, but one where momentum appears to be consolidating around the Ajumako Enyan Essiam Member of Parliament Dr Ato Forson.

According to the data, he commands 32 percent support among respondents, placing him ahead of the party’s National Chairman Johnson Asiedu Nketia, who secured 25 percent, and Minister for Education Hon. Haruna Iddrisu, who follows closely with 23 percent.

The poll also reflects a broader field of interest, with Vice President Professor Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang registering 14 percent support, while five percent of respondents indicated a preference for other potential candidates.

These figures suggest a fragmented but active contest, with no single candidate commanding an outright majority. However, the relative gap between Ato Forson and his closest competitors signals a growing consolidation of support that could prove decisive as the race evolves.

Head-to-Head Matchups Favor Forson

Beyond the general preference rankings, the poll provides deeper insight through direct comparative contests between the leading contenders. In these simulated head to head scenarios, Ato Forson maintains a clear advantage.

When matched against Haruna Iddrisu, Ato Forson secures 58 percent of the vote compared to 42 percent for his opponent. A similar pattern emerges in his contest with Asiedu Nketia, where he leads with 59 percent against 41 percent.

These margins indicate not only a strong base of support but also an ability to attract voters beyond his immediate constituency within the party. The results suggest that in a runoff scenario, Ato Forson could consolidate broader backing across different factions.

In contrast, the contest between Asiedu Nketia and Haruna Iddrisu reveals a sharply divided electorate. The poll records a perfect tie, with both candidates receiving 50 percent support. This outcome highlights the competitive balance between the two figures and underscores the absence of a clear second place contender.

Competitive Field Reflects Internal Party Dynamics

The poll results reflect a party navigating a complex leadership transition, where multiple influential figures command significant but divided support bases. While Ato Forson appears to be gaining an early edge, the relatively close margins between other contenders point to an open contest.

The positioning of the party’s National Chairman, Johnson Asiedu Nketia, and Tamale South MP Hon. Haruna Iddrisu suggests that both candidates retain strong appeal within distinct segments of the party.

Their dead heat in direct comparison indicates that neither has yet been able to decisively outpace the other, potentially setting the stage for further realignment as the race progresses.

Meanwhile, the inclusion of the Vice President, Professor Jane Naana Opoku Agyemang, in the poll highlights the breadth of leadership considerations within the party. Her share of support, though lower than the leading trio, reflects continued recognition and relevance in the internal political landscape.

The emerging trends from the poll carry important implications for party strategy and cohesion. Ato Forson’s lead in both general preference and head-to-head matchups suggests that he may be well-positioned to unify different factions if his support continues to expand.

At the same time, the evenly matched contest between Asiedu Nketia and Haruna Iddrisu indicates that alliances and endorsements could play a critical role in shaping the final outcome.

In a competitive environment such as this, shifts in support among undecided voters or backing from influential party figures could significantly alter the trajectory of the race.

The data also underscores the importance of broad based appeal within the party. Candidates who are able to extend their influence beyond core supporters and build cross factional alliances are likely to gain an advantage as the contest intensifies.

Poll Reflects Early Stage Momentum

While the findings provide valuable insight into current voter sentiment within the party, they also reflect an early stage in what is likely to be a dynamic process. Political preferences can evolve, particularly as candidates refine their messages, engage with delegates, and respond to emerging issues.

The absence of a majority leader suggests that the race remains open, with opportunities for shifts in momentum. However, Ato Forson’s consistent lead across different measures places him in a strong position at this stage of the contest.

The poll by the Global InfoAnalytics ultimately highlights a competitive and evolving leadership landscape within the National Democratic Congress, where multiple candidates remain viable but where early indicators point to a developing frontrunner.