A new tracking poll conducted in March 2026 by Global InfoAnalytics has placed Dr Cassiel Ato Forson firmly ahead in the National Democratic Congress internal race across the eight Akan-dominated regions.
The analysis, presented by the Executive Director of the Global InfoAnalytics, Mussa Dankwah, provides fresh insight into how party supporters and broader voter groups are aligning ahead of the 2028 elections.
The poll, which examined voter preferences among four leading contenders, shows Ato Forson leading with nearly 33 percent support. He is followed by Johnson Asiedu Nketia with 21 percent, while Haruna Iddrisu records 11 percent and Naana Opoku-Agyemang polls 8 percent.
Other candidates account for 5 percent, while a significant 23 percent of respondents remain undecided. Mussa Dankwah explained that the findings reflect early but important trends in the NDC’s internal contest, particularly in regions that often play a decisive role in shaping national outcomes.
Cross Party and Core Support
The poll highlights Ato Forson’s broad appeal across different voter groups, including supporters of rival political parties. Among New Patriotic Party voters, he leads with 29 percent, compared to 14 percent for Asiedu Nketia. Haruna Iddrisu and Naana Opoku-Agyemang trail with 9 percent and 7 percent respectively.
Within the NDC base, Ato Forson maintains a strong lead with 38 percent support, followed by Asiedu Nketia at 29 percent. Haruna Iddrisu records 13 percent, while Naana Opoku-Agyemang secures 10 percent.
The data suggests that Ato Forson has not only consolidated his position within the party but is also attracting attention from outside its traditional support base.
Among floating voters, who are often critical in determining electoral outcomes, Ato Forson again leads decisively with 38 percent. Asiedu Nketia follows with 19 percent, while Naana Opoku-Agyemang and Haruna Iddrisu record 6 percent and 9 percent respectively.
The pattern continues among respondents who do not disclose their party affiliation, where Ato Forson leads with 24 percent compared to 13 percent for Asiedu Nketia. The remaining candidates record lower levels of support, reinforcing the perception of Ato Forson’s growing dominance across diverse voter segments.
Head to Head Contest Dynamics
The poll also examined a direct contest between Ato Forson and Asiedu Nketia, a scenario widely seen as a likely outcome in the race for the NDC leadership. In this head to head matchup, Ato Forson’s lead expands significantly.
He records 47 percent support compared to 25 percent for Asiedu Nketia, with 28 percent of respondents remaining undecided. This represents a margin of nearly 23 percentage points, highlighting a clear preference among voters when presented with a direct choice between the two candidates.
Mussa Dankwah noted that the head-to-head results reveal a consistent advantage for Ato Forson across all voter categories. Among NPP voters, he leads by nearly 20 points, while among NDC supporters, his lead stands at a similar margin. The gap widens further among floating voters, where he leads by 31 points.
Even among smaller political groupings and unaffiliated voters, Ato Forson maintains a strong edge, leading by double digit margins. This broad based support suggests that his candidacy resonates across different demographic and political lines.
Implications for the NDC Race
The findings by the Global InfoAnalytics point to a competitive but increasingly defined race within the NDC, with Ato Forson emerging as a frontrunner in key regions. His strong showing in the Akan regions, combined with his cross party appeal, positions him as a significant contender for the party’s 2028 presidential ticket.
At the same time, the data highlights challenges for other candidates, particularly Asiedu Nketia, whose support appears more limited in comparison. While he maintains a solid base, the relatively wide gap in the head to head scenario suggests that closing the distance may require a shift in strategy.
The presence of a large undecided voter segment also indicates that the race is not yet settled. With nearly a quarter of respondents yet to express a preference, there remains room for changes in voter alignment as the contest progresses.
Mussa Dankwah described the current dynamics as indicative of an evolving political landscape within the NDC. He suggested that the coming months and years will be critical in determining how the race unfolds, particularly as candidates refine their messages and engage with voters.
The Akan regions, given their electoral significance, are expected to play a central role in shaping the party’s leadership decision. Strong performance in these areas could provide a foundation for broader national support.
As the NDC prepares for the 2028 elections, the poll offers an early snapshot of voter sentiment and highlights the factors that may influence the outcome. While Ato Forson currently holds a clear lead, the competitive nature of the race suggests that further developments are likely.
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