Justin Kodua Frimpong is the likely winner of the New Patriotic Party (NPP) General Secretary race, according to a Global InfoAnalytics poll released on September 30, 2026.
The incumbent commands 71 percent of committed delegates, 54 points ahead of former Member of Parliament Sylvester Tetteh on 17 percent, three days before delegates vote in the party’s national executive elections.
Global InfoAnalytics surveyed 3,263 delegates by telephone between September 24 and 28, and its Committed Delegates Model counts only those who have chosen a candidate. The result extends a lead Kodua already held in an August survey, when 46 percent of respondents had no opinion on the race.
Kodua Dominates the Committed Delegates Model
Under the model, Kodua holds 71 percent, Tetteh 17 percent, Eugene Antwi 6 percent, and Charles Dwamena 6 percent. The pollster reports a margin of error of plus or minus 1.34 percentage points at a 98 percent confidence level, so the 54-point gap between the top two sits far outside the range of sampling error.
Mussa K. Dankwah led the study. Interviewers used Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews and drew respondents by random probability sampling from all 16 regions and the 2026 NPP constituencies register. Because the sample comes from the delegates register, the poll speaks to the people who will cast the ballots.
How the Race Has Moved Since August
The August 20 survey had Kodua on 36 percent, Antwi on 10 percent, Tetteh on 5 percent and Dwamena on 3 percent. His support also ran across rival camps in the chairmanship contest, with 63 percent of John Boadu’s backers, 53 percent of Boakye Agyarko’s and 49 percent of Paul Afoko’s choosing him.
The order below the incumbent has changed since then. Tetteh now stands second, while Antwi, who ran second in August, has fallen to joint third with Dwamena. The two polls used different samples, so the comparison shows direction rather than exact movement.
Kodua Defends His Record
Justin Kodua made his case to the party’s elections committee during vetting on August 31. He pointed to the decision to hold the presidential primary ahead of the other internal elections, a move that drew criticism at first. He said, “That sole decision that we took has saved the party and brought peace and stability into the party.”
On the 2024 defeat, he noted that the NPP’s presidential vote fell from about 6.7 million in 2020 to 4.6 million in 2024, and argued that many past supporters stayed home. He also cited his part in reorganising the party and amending its constitution.
Challengers Press the Case for Change
Eugene Boakye Antwi, a former Subin MP, has made the sharpest case against the incumbent. “The figures speak for themselves. He has become our worst-performing General Secretary,” he said. He argued that the party entered the 2024 election with weak structures, which cost it parliamentary seats and handed the NDC a commanding majority.
The former MP for Bortianor-Ngleshie Amanfro Constituency, Sylvester Tetteh, filed his nomination on August 28 at the party headquarters in Accra, joined by delegates from 13 regions.
He cited his four years in Parliament, where he served as Vice Chairman of the Communications Committee, and his earlier leadership of the Tertiary Students Confederacy Network. “I am your wartime general!” he said at the filing. Neither challenger has yet closed the gap in the poll.
What Delegates Decide in Kumasi
Forty of the 50 aspirants who obtained nomination forms completed filing, according to the party’s Director of Elections, Evans Nimako. The national conference in Kumasi runs from October 2 to 4, and the party wants the incoming officers to help organise its 2028 campaign.
Justin Kodua enters the vote with a commanding lead. A poll captures opinion at one moment, though, and the count will show whether delegates give him another term.
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