According to the latest poll by Global InfoAnalytics, the 2024 presidential race is tightening amidst a nationwide tour by the Vice President, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia.
The poll shows that Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia has narrowed John Dramani Mahama’s lead in the poll by approximately 3% compared to the April 2024 poll.
According to the polling house, John Mahama now leads Dr. Bawumia at 51.1% to 38.2%, Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen at 5.3%, Nana Kwame Bediako, at 4.6%, and others at 0.8%.
“The poll shows that in the event of a runoff, JDM is on 52%, DMB, 42%, and 6% of voters are undecided, suggesting that the poll is currently unlikely to head to a runoff”.
“In what could be a shock to the political duopoly in Ghana, the poll shows NKB making significant gains in the Central, Ashanti, Eastern, and Volta regions. NKB leads in Abura Asebu Kwamankese and Kade constituencies in the Central and Eastern regions respectively”.
Global InfoAnalytics
Global InfoAnalytics noted that the race also shows a dramatic shift in the Central region during the period as John Mahama drops from 51% in April 2024 to 39% in July.
Furthermore, the poll also shows Dr. Bawumia hemorrhaging in the region as he recorded a decline from 45% in April to 30%.
However, Alan Kyerematen and Nana Bediako made huge gains in the region after they lost ground in the April poll as both candidates are now tied in third and fourth places with 13% of the votes each.
The poll further indicated Dr. Bawumia also recorded significant gains in the Ashanti region as he now attracts 66% of the vote compared to 54% recorded in the April poll.
John Mahama on the other hand, the poll noted, suffered a decline from 31% to 22% in July as Alan Kyerematen saw a decline and is now on 8%, from 12% in April.
Nana Kwame Bediako also doubled his votes in the Ashanti region as he attracted 4% of the votes in July compared to 2% in the April poll.
According to the poll, the presidential race is neck and neck among first-time voters, with John Mahama and Dr. Bawumia in a dead heat, each garnering 41% support from this demographic.
Among first-time voters, Alan Kyerematen garnered 8% support, while Nana Kwame Bediako secured 9% of their votes, according to the poll.
John Mahama’s support among first-time voters has significantly dropped, from a leading 52% in the April poll to a tied 41% in the current poll, representing an 11-point decline and a lost lead.
“Overall, 4.2% of voters are undecided and 5% said they will not vote. The poll shows that 22% of voters who are undecided are from the Greater Accra, Ashanti, 16%, Western, 12% and Eastern, 11%. For those who will not vote, 19% are from the Greater Accra, Ashanti region, 22%, Eastern region, 17% and Western region, 13%”.
Global InfoAnalytics
Poll Shows Widespread Discontent Among Ghanaians
According to the Global InfoAnalytics July polls, nearly two-thirds (63%) of Ghanaian voters are dissatisfied with the country’s trajectory, believing it is headed in the wrong direction, while 27% hold a more optimistic view, believing Ghana is on the right track.
This indicates a significant disparity in opinions regarding the nation’s progress.
The poll also found that nearly half (47%) of Ghanaian voters have experienced a decline in their standard of living over the past year, while 21% have seen an improvement, 27% reported no change, and 5% remained undecided or had no opinion on the matter.
“[The] majority of voters are unhappy with the performance of President Nana Akufo Addo. 60% disapproved of his performance while 35% approved of it and 6% did not have an opinion. The Ghana Police Service and Electoral Commission suffered a blow in public confidence during the period”.
“The poll saw voters who have confidence in the police to maintain order during the elections declining from 64% in April 2024 to 58% in July while those who have no confidence jumps from 28% to 33%”.
Global InfoAnalytics
The poll also revealed a notable decline in public trust in the Electoral Commission, with the percentage of voters confident in its ability to conduct free and fair elections decreasing from 59% to 53%, indicating a 6-point drop in voter confidence.
The poll also showed a corresponding increase in voter distrust, with the percentage of those lacking confidence in the Electoral Commission’s ability to organize free and fair elections rising from 32% to 38%, a 6-point surge in skepticism.
“On the “One Student One Tablet” policy of the government, the poll found that 55% of voters support it while 29% do not support it. However, when voters were asked if the policy is likely to influence them to vote for the government, 58% of them said it would not influence them, 29% said it would whilst 13% were indifferent”.
Global InfoAnalytics
According to the poll, nearly a third (29%) of voters admitted that government projects launched just before the elections could sway their voting decision, while a majority (56%) maintained that such last-minute efforts would not impact their vote, and a smaller proportion (15%) remained neutral the matter.
The poll also indicated that a small minority (7%) of voters confessed that they would be willing to accept inducements or bribes in exchange for switching their vote to a particular candidate,
This indicates that the vast majority (93%) remain resistant to such temptations and make autonomous decisions when they vote come December.
The poll revealed that voters’ top priorities in the upcoming election are the economy (73%), jobs (69%), and education (50%), indicating that these three critical issues will significantly sway their voting decisions, with the economy being the most dominant concern.
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